Dollar dominance: A source of dollar volatility?
Summary
The US dollar (USD) is involved in 88% of global foreign exchange transactions, partly due to its role as a vehicle currency. Using high-frequency data from primary interdealer platforms, we develop a novel methodology to identify USD cross-trades. We show both theoretically and empirically that such trades can generate price fluctuations in USD exchange rates. Employing an instrumental variables approach, we find that increased cross-trading activity amplifies aggregate USD volatility. These results highlight a fundamental trade-off: while dollar dominance enhances market liquidity, it also increases the currency’s exposure to shocks originating in other currency pairs.
- Issue:
- 05
- Pages:
- 73
- JEL classification:
- F31, G12, G14, G15
- Keywords:
- Dollar dominance, Volatility, Foreign exchange markets, High-frequency trading
- Year:
- 2026