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Monetary policy report 2002
1. Background
2. Reassessment in view of unexpectedly weak economic growth and strong Swiss franc
3. Lowering of the target range in May and July
4. No change in the target range at the scheduled assessments of the situation
5. Signals for a medium-term increase in interest rates
6. Graphs
5. Signals for a medium-term increase in interest rates
The inflation forecast published in June 2002 indicated that, with an unchanged three-month Libor rate of 1.25%, inflation would rise rapidly and distinctly near the end of the forecasting horizon. Moreover, the inflation forecast published in December 2002, which is based on a constant three-month Libor rate of 0.75%, showed a similar development. Both forecasts thus signalled that the low interest rate level is appropriate for the time being but cannot be maintained in the long term without jeopardising price stability.